Monday, May 15, 2006

When the Border Patrol stands up, the National Guard will stand down

Some quick thoughts on the president's rather vague entry into the illegal immigration debate.

Zen presaged the references to terrorism and national security in tonight's address. He also rightly noted how dubious those assertions would seem based on prior presidential inaction.

The president's legislative plan seems to be a conference between the House and the Senate to arrive at a comprehensive immigration policy. He can expect something like that from the Senate, but not the House. And, in conference, he can expect no compromise. I believe it is more likely that he will see no bill rather than a comprehensive bill.

Bush failed, again, to assert which legislative measure he endorsed. He should have sided with Hagel explicitly. He did not.

The deployment of the National Guard seems to be designed for the appearance of tough action. Bush mentioned that the Guard is capable of this deployment, and they are. However, here are April's retention/reenlistment numbers for the Guard (source DoD): 103 percent for the fiscal year (started 10/2005) 90 percent for April.

The White House's immigration page.


Blogger zen said...

Thanks for the shout out.

I missed the speech, but have been catching up on the transcript and the coverage. Seems like a PR ploy gone bad.
The right-wing base, his likely intended target, is screaming, "too little, too late." Ouch.

10:37 AM  

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